A global recession signifies a widespread economic downturn impacting numerous countries, characterized by a slowdown or decline in economic output across the globe. It's not merely a national recession but a synchronized contraction in economic activities internationally. These recessions can stem from various factors, including financial crises, trade imbalances, or global shocks like pandemics, affecting international trade, investment, and overall economic growth. The interconnected nature of the modern global economy means that downturns in major economies can quickly spread, triggering a global recession. The severity and duration vary, but they generally lead to decreased employment, reduced consumer spending, and increased economic uncertainty worldwide.
Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase CEO, warned that Trump's tariffs and trade war could trigger a global recession. The tariffs create economic uncertainty and negatively impact global trade.
In 1974, Julius Shiskin suggested rules for identifying a recession, including two successive quarterly declines in GDP, in a New York Times article.
In 1974, there was a global recession according to the IMF's growth rate measure.
In 1975, one of the four global recessions since World War II occurred, lasting only one year.
In 1982, another global recession occurred, lasting only one year according to the definition used.
In 1984, a global recession occurred based on the IMF's growth rate criterion.
In 1990, the world experienced a global recession according to the IMF's definition.
In 1991, a global recession took place, lasting a year by some measures but potentially extending to 1993 under different calculations.
The 1991 recession would have lasted until 1993 if the IMF had used normal exchange rate weighted per‑capita real World GDP rather than the purchasing power parity weighted per‑capita real World GDP.
In 1996, a global recession took place according to the IMF's growth rate measure.
In 2007, the world growth was at 5% before the slowdown.
In 2008, a global recession occurred based on the IMF's benchmark.
In 2008, the world growth slowed from 5% to 3.75%.
Before April 2009, the IMF considered a global annual real GDP growth rate of 3.0 percent or less as "equivalent to a global recession".
In 2009, the global recession, also known as the Great Recession, occurred, marking the worst of the four postwar recessions in terms of affected countries and decline in real World GDP per capita.
In 2009, the world growth was projected to be just over 2%, with significant job losses and capital loss estimates.
In 2018, there was a global recession according to the IMF's growth rate definition.
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