The San Andreas Fault is a major geological feature in California, stretching approximately 750 miles (1,210 km). It marks the boundary between the Pacific and North American tectonic plates, characterized as a right-lateral strike-slip transform fault. For scientific purposes, the fault is divided into three segments, each exhibiting distinct behaviors and earthquake potential. The fault's average slip rate varies between 0.79 and 1.38 inches annually, reflecting the ongoing movement of the tectonic plates. This continuous movement poses a significant earthquake risk to the region.
New evidence indicates the 'Big One' earthquake threat on the San Andreas Fault may be worse than expected. A dual fault rupture poses a threat to San Francisco and Seattle, and Cascadia could trigger San Andreas.
Seismologists recorded a magnitude 6.0 earthquake in Parkfield, California in 1901.
Eleven years after the fault's initial discovery, in 1906, Lawson discovered that the San Andreas Fault stretched southward into southern California after reviewing the effects of the San Francisco earthquake.
Following the 1906 San Francisco earthquake, Lawson concluded that the San Andreas Fault extended into Southern California.
In 1906, following the San Francisco earthquake, Professor Andrew Lawson mapped offsets along surface ruptures and concluded that the San Andreas Fault was the origin of the earthquake.
In 1906, the San Francisco earthquake was an exception because the plate movement was mostly from south to north and it was not preceded by a major quake in the Cascadia zone.
The 1906 earthquake on the northern segments of the San Andreas Fault impacted the increasing risk assessment.
According to some of Professor Lawson's reports from 1895 and 1908, he named the fault after the surrounding San Andreas Valley.
Seismologists recorded a magnitude 6.0 earthquake in Parkfield, California in 1922.
Seismologists recorded a magnitude 6.0 earthquake in Parkfield, California in 1934.
In 1953, geologist Thomas Dibblee concluded that hundreds of miles of lateral movement could occur along the San Andreas Fault.
Seismologists recorded a magnitude 6.0 earthquake in Parkfield, California in 1966.
In 1989, the Loma Prieta earthquake epicenter was located in the Santa Cruz Mountains on the northern segment of the San Andreas Fault.
Following the Landers earthquake in 1992, a hypothesis gained interest suggesting the plate boundary may be shifting eastward away from the San Andreas towards Walker Lane.
Scientists predicted in 1993 that an earthquake should occur in Parkfield due to the frequency of predictable activity.
In November 2013, the U.S. Geological Survey released UCERF3, estimating that an earthquake of magnitude 6.7 or greater (i.e. equal to or greater than the 1994 Northridge earthquake) occurs about once every 6.7 years statewide.
In 2004, an earthquake eventually occurred in Parkfield.
In 2004, the San Andreas Fault Observatory at Depth (SAFOD) project, funded by the National Science Foundation, commenced near Parkfield, California, with the aim of drilling through the fault.
In 2004, work began just north of Parkfield on the San Andreas Fault Observatory at Depth (SAFOD) to drill into the San Andreas Fault and install sensors.
A study published in 2006 in the journal Nature by Yuri Fialko found that the San Andreas fault has reached a sufficient stress level for an earthquake of magnitude greater than 7.0 to occur.
From 2004 to 2007, The SAFOD project collected core samples and made direct geophysical and geochemical observations to better understand fault behavior at depth.
A 2008 USGS study assessed the physical, social, and economic consequences of a major earthquake in Southern California.
A 2008 paper found a correlation in time between seismic events on the northern San Andreas Fault and the southern part of the Cascadia subduction zone.
In November 2013, the U.S. Geological Survey released UCERF3, estimating the frequency of earthquakes of magnitude 6.7 or greater.
The first volume of the HayWired Scenario study was released in 2017.
In 2018, the second volume, Engineering Implications, of the HayWired Scenario study was published.
As of the 2021 Fact sheet update, there are several estimates on damages ranging from the approximate people affected at home, work, effects of lifeline infrastructures such as telecommunications, and more.
A 2023 study found a link between the water level in Lake Cahuilla (now the Salton Sea) and seismic activity along the southern San Andreas Fault.
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